South Korean-style Covid-19 hotels could help to stop Britons flouting self-isolation rules amid fears only 15% are fully complying, SAGE expert suggests

  • Professor Lucy Yardley said test and trace could fail due to low compliance in UK
  • Behavioural scientist warned even people with symptoms not adhering to rules
  • Suggested setting up designated hotels for people to self-isolate, like in Korea 

Professor Lucy Yardley, of Bristol and Southampton universities, suggested setting up South Korean-style quarantine hotels to clamp down on people flouting self-isolation rules

Professor Lucy Yardley, of Bristol and Southampton universities, suggested setting up South Korean-style quarantine hotels to clamp down on people flouting self-isolation rules

Britons tracked down by contact tracers should be put up in quarantine hotels to clamp down on the tens of thousands of people flouting coronavirus self-isolation rules, one of Number 10's scientific advisers has suggested.

The Government is relying on its test and trace programme to stop a resurgence of Covid-19 as the UK slowly begins to reopen from the draconian lockdown imposed on March 23.

But the scheme — which is still missing the app that was promised for mid-May — requires Brits to self-isolate for 14 days after they have been in contact with a Covid-19 patient, even if they don't show any symptoms of the disease.

Lucy Yardley, professor of health psychology at Bristol and Southampton universities, warned the programme could fail because of low compliance.

She suggested putting suspected cases in dedicated hotels where they are far more likely to comply, as has been done in South Korea, India and some parts of South America.

This idea hinges on using hotels as isolation zones, where people who come from cramped housing in poorer areas, from care homes or who are homeless, for example, can stay and be looked after while they recover and complete their isolation period.

This could relieve pressure from people who may struggle to look after themselves at home, pay for necessities if they are out of work or be unable to go to food banks or shops, for example. 

It comes as one Whitehall source yesterday claimed only 15 per cent of the public were strictly adhering to social distancing and lockdown rules. 

There is growing concern that as society reopens, compliance will dwindle because people perceive the Covid-19 threat to be low. 

Professor Yardley, part of SAGE and its subgroup for behavioural science, said the committee had seen evidence that even Britons with Covid-like symptoms were not self-isolating.

The NHS Test and Trace programme launched last week but ministers are under pressure after failing to reveal how many people have so far been contacted

The NHS Test and Trace programme launched last week, but experts have doubts about how many people will comply with the isolation part of the rules

WHAT ARE QUARANTINE HOTELS? 

Asian countries such as South Korea and India have been using hotels as isolation zones for suspected patients since the tourism industry shut down at the start of the crisis.

The rooms were prioritised for people with mild or no symptoms who were required to self-isolate following contact tracing efforts.

Rooms were provided free of charge and provided mostly to people who could not self-isolate at home or because they were homeless or in a care home.

The move had the added benefit of reducing job loss in the tourism and hospitality industries – two of the hardest-hit by the crisis. 

The hotels have since been used in Brazil for impoverished coronavirus patients living in favelas in Rio de Janeiro, where social distancing is near-impossible.

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She told the House of Lords Science and Technology Committee yesterday: 'We have never managed to accomplish good adherence to self-isolation, not even in the earliest stages.

'We have data that when people thought or said they were adhering they were leaving the home while symptomatic. We have to understand better the various reasons why people are doing that, despite good intentions.'

Experts believe a fully functioning test and trace programme and high compliance from the public will be critical if the UK is to avoid a second wave as life slowly begins to revert to normal. 

Test and trace requires people with symptoms to self-isolate and get tested. If they test positive their close contacts are then tracked down and also told to self-isolate.

The system is designed to break the chain of transmission as quickly as possible in order to squash potential outbreaks and stop them from escalating.

But one Whitehall source told The Times that Government estimates suggested just one in six people were fully complying with isolation rules.

Professor Yardley said some people were ignoring the curbs because they did not have the financial security to skip work, while others lived in crowded homes where isolating was impossible.

She suggested the Government needed to look at extra financial support or dedicated Covid hotels to help support the policy.

Professor Yardley told Peers: 'We know a lot of [non-compliance] has to do with not having sufficient support or income.

'One of the problems is the rules ask people to isolate at home, potentially putting their closest family member at greater risk.'

Susan Michie, professor of health psychology at University College London and a member of SAGE, criticised the Government¿s decision to abandon the word ¿isolate¿ from its Test and Tract programme, claiming it will lead to less compliance

Susan Michie, professor of health psychology at University College London and a member of SAGE, criticised the Government's decision to abandon the word 'isolate' from its Test and Tract programme, claiming it will lead to less compliance

GOVERNMENT'S TEST AND TRACE SCHEME WILL BE OVERWHELMED IN THE WINTER  

Professor Andrew Hayward, director of the UCL Institute of Epidemiology and Health Care, told Peers that a second lockdown would be inevitable in the event of another epidemic because the current test and trace programme is 'not sufficient'. 

He said the Government will not have the testing capacity to swab enough people in winter, when respiratory illnesses are rife and the number of people reporting fevers surges. 

He added: 'We can see that during a normal summer about 100,000 people a day would have new symptoms of cough or fever or loss of sense a smell.

'And that rises to about half a million a day during winter, so there is an enormous scale to this testing issue that I don't think has been truly appreciated.

'If we are moving into a situation where we have a second wave during the winter -when we know we have way higher levels of respiratory infections - we will have way higher levels of people presenting with symptoms that could be Covid.

'So we need to be able to ramp up testing capacity to way higher than it currently is if we are to pursue that strategy of test and trace as one of the main means of control.

'We may need, probably will need, in a severe second wave to revert to lockdown. Because test and trace will not be sufficient.' 

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Asian countries such as South Korea and India have been using hotels as isolation zones for suspected patients since the tourism industry shut down at the start of the crisis.

The rooms were prioritised for people with mild or no symptoms who were required to self-isolate following contact tracing efforts.

Rooms were provided free of charge and provided mostly to people who could not self-isolate at home or because they were homeless or in a care home.

The move had the added benefit of reducing job loss in the tourism and hospitality industries – two of the hardest-hit by the crisis. 

The hotels have since been used in Brazil for impoverished coronavirus patients living in favelas in Rio de Janeiro, where officials were worried the virus could devastate entire communities. 

Professor Susan Michie, a psychologist at University College London, who is also on SAGE's behavioural science panel, also criticised the Government's decision to leave out the word 'isolate' from its coronavirus Test and Trace programme.

She told Peers that isolating cases was the most vital part of the system and not including it in the title of the UK's flagship scheme was 'puzzling'.

Professor Michie said the decision to leave out 'isolate' sent mixed messages to the public and could lead to Britons ignoring that aspect of the programme.

'The other thing that is very puzzling to me is why the government has called it Test and Trace, when the World Health Organization (WHO) and many other countries call it Test, Trace and Isolate,' she said.

'Because without isolation all of the rest of it is for nothing. We absolutely need the isolation. And if one doesn't have it in the label of the system, it's not communicating that this is a vital part of it.

'We already know there are going to be really big difficulties with isolation if people are being asked to stay home for 14 days and not go to work, this is a big financial penalty.'

What is the NHS Test and Trace system? 

Anyone who develops Covid-associated symptoms is being told to self-isolate and get tested under the test and trace scheme.

Close contacts of those who are found to be positive for the disease are then told to quarantine for 14 days - even if they test negative and are not sick. 

Boris Johnson's government has hired an enormous army of 50,000 people who will attempt to make this huge undertaking possible. 

Around 25,000 are contact tracers who will contact people who return positive coronavirus tests to grill them on their movements and their known associates. 

The idea is to build a picture of who they have come into contact with and so who might be at risk of a) becoming ill and b) passing it on to more people.    

Another 25,000 people in the scheme are testers, who will go out into the community and test these known associates.

Either way, these known associates will be under orders to immediately quarantine, even if the tests they return are negative.  

Baroness Dido Harding, executive chairwoman of NHS Test and Trace, said the scheme was central to easing the lockdown further.

She said: 'NHS Test and Trace is designed to enable the vast majority of us to be able to get on with our lives in a much more normal way. 

'We will be trading national lockdown for individual isolation if we have symptoms.

'Instead of 60 million people being in national lockdown, a much smaller number of us will be told we need to stay at home, either for seven days if we are ill or 14 days if we have been in close contact.' 

The UK's coronavirus tracing programme will be split into two parts.

  • Part One: 

People will be ordered to self-isolate for seven days if they develop symptoms. Anyone in the same household will have to do the same. 

Those people should then order a coronavirus test online or by calling 119. This will be available for residents in Wales from Saturday.

If a test is positive, that victim must complete seven days in isolation. If the test comes back negative, no one needs to self-isolate.

However, people with a positive test for Covid-19 will then be contacted via text message or email or by phone and told to answer questions.

They will be asked to share phone numbers and email addresses for close contacts.

For those under 18, they will receive a call from the team and a parent or guardian must give permission for the call to continue. 

  • Part Two:

People who have been listed as a person with whom a coronavirus victim has had close contact will receive a text message or an email.

They will then be asked to self-isolate for up to 14 days based on when they last came into contact with that person.

Other household members do not need to self-isolate unless symptoms are present.

If they develop Covid-associated symptoms, all other household members should self-isolate and they should then order a test.

If the test is positive, self-isolation must continue for seven days. If the test is negative, that person should still complete 14 days in case the virus is not showing.